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Trump’s 25% Iran Trade Tariff Threat Could Push US Duties on Indian Exports Up to 75%

India Risks 75% US Tariff as Trump Targets Iran Trade, Putting $130 Billion Indo-US Commerce at Stake

Simran Mishra

India has entered a difficult phase and is facing a tough situation after US President Donald Trump announced a new 25% tariff on countries that continue business with Iran. The move has raised serious concerns in New Delhi. It affects trade, diplomacy, and long term regional plans. The move comes at a time when India is trying to strengthen economic ties with the United States while keeping key links alive in West Asia.

Trump made the announcement on Truth Social. He said any country trading with Iran would face a 25% tariff on all business with the United States. The decision took effect immediately. The message did not explain how the tariff would be enforced or which goods it would cover. This lack of detail has created confusion and worry among traders.

Rising Tariff Pressure on India

For India, the problem becomes bigger due to existing US trade tariffs. Indian exports already face duties of up to 50% in the US market. If the new Iran linked tariff applies, total tariffs could rise to 75%. Such high charges would sharply reduce the appeal of Indian goods in the American market. The US remains India’s largest trading partner, which makes the risk serious.

India Iran trade is not very large in value, but it remains steady and important for certain industries. India exports basmati rice, tea, coffee, spices, sugar, and medicines to Iran. Imports include dry fruits, chemicals, and glassware. In some categories, Iran remains an important buyer. Basmati rice exporters and pharmaceutical firms depend on this market for stable demand.

Strategic Importance of Iran Ties

The India Iran tariff dilemma also has a strong strategic side. India plays a role in Iran through the Chabahar port. India has a long term operating agreement for the port. Chabahar helps India reach Afghanistan and Central Asia without using routes through Pakistan. This access supports trade and strengthens India’s regional presence. Any break in ties with Iran could weaken these plans.

At the same time, India US trade carries much higher value. Trade between the two countries crossed $130 billion in recent years. The US market supports major Indian industries such as IT services, textiles, auto parts, and engineering goods. Exporters have already felt pressure from higher tariffs in recent months. Another rise in duties could slow exports and hurt jobs.

Tough Choices Ahead for New Delhi

Global reactions show the wider impact of Trump’s decision. China opposed the tariff and called it unfair and one sided. Other countries trading with Iran may also face pressure. The move has raised fresh concerns about global trade stability and growing protectionist policies.

Indian officials have said the government is studying the possible impact of the tariff. No official statement has been released yet. Trade talks between India and the US are still ongoing, but progress has been slow. US officials have praised India’s trade offers earlier, yet the new tariff threat adds fresh uncertainty.

India now faces limited and difficult choices. Reducing trade with Iran may protect access to the US market but hurt farmers, exporters, and strategic projects. Continuing Iran trade could invite higher US trade tariffs and economic losses. India may try to seek exemptions or limited relief through talks.

This situation highlights the growing challenge for India in balancing trade needs with strategic independence. The steps taken next will shape India’s trade direction and foreign policy in the coming years

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